Picking a DNF is perfectly legal (and probably not a bad bet) but you have to guess at which point I crash and am taken away in an ambulance. A DNS (Did Not Start) isn't accepted... that one is mine and I reserve that pick for myself between now and Saturday. I won't quit so don't bother picking that. For reference- My basic goal is to go under 9 hours. Last year's winner (Levi Leipheimer, former 3rd place in the Tour DeFrance) went something like 6:17 for the course record. A few training partners are betting I break 8. My own personal feeling is 8:45. The white Angel on my left shoulder say's well under 8... the Red Devil on my right shoulder say's I crash out descending Columbine... but that guy's a dick.
Last year...
This year?
7:17 Your going to Kill It!!!
ReplyDeleteDayum. Thanks for the vote of confidence Brad!
ReplyDelete7:52
ReplyDeleteMeant to say good luck too, but I got too excited about the prize. Seriously, you'll do great!
ReplyDelete7:11.
ReplyDeleteOk, I'm posting my prediction in 2 places because you're due! I think being an hour off the CR is just stinkyleadshit. The CR is an average of about 16mph and a 7:11 is 14 mph. Go have some fun killin' it!
Not that I think you couldn't go faster but I know (from experience) you'll race smart and finish strong in 8:15.
ReplyDeleteThanks again Rick!
ReplyDeleteTim- The plan is to be SUPER cautious on the descents in the pack. I learned from Silver Rush it doesn't mean crap to be fit if you can't finish. I think 8:15 is generous for my first time... thanks!
That's it. Get the dumb buckle and the seeding then fuck up the comp next year.
ReplyDelete8h24m, you negative split the second half by 15 minutes.
ReplyDeleteYes. I have bike grease in my blood... you know what I'm talking about. Silver King and Leadville bike again next year... maybe the run if I have enough beers the night registration opens.
ReplyDelete8:35
ReplyDeleteI like that one Brett... lines up with "the master plan".
ReplyDelete8:27:13, FINISH!
ReplyDeleteWard- "finish"... definitely. It all starts (and ends) there.
ReplyDelete8:07:06
ReplyDeleteI'm thinking the fact that my family and I won't be there to see you all bloodied up at the halfway mark like Silver Rush has to be good luck for you.
James
7:47. Huge negative split.
ReplyDelete30 minutes faster than your fastest Kona IM (8:20:38 then?).
ReplyDeleteHave a great ride and enjoy the effort.
Darren
7:45
ReplyDeleteWish I could be on course this weekend to cheer but most likely will make the trek out there to pace a friend during this year's run the following week. You should have no trouble beating your stated goal if the loose-rock gods don't play with you this go-round.
8:47!!!!
ReplyDelete7:30
ReplyDeleteI'm guessing you won't crash until you try unclipping after crossing the finish line
7:41
ReplyDeleteGood luck, i was out there last year sagging a friend..who unfortunately DNF'd..sucked, but still was a great experience!
ReplyDeleteI am going to guess 8:06. I think that you could easily go under 8 but all the people are going to hold you up the first half. Go get some!
ReplyDeleteThat is a pretty sweet buckle combo.
ReplyDeleteSo - do you have a race strategy? That sort of plays into the race predictions.
But for grins, I will go 7:59.
Race strategy top 10:
ReplyDelete#1- Ride safe, be patient.
#2- Eat and hydrate.
#3- Stay positive.
#4- Eat and hydrate.
#5- Ride Columbine strong.
#6- Eat and hydrate.
#7- Eat and hydrate.
#8- Ride all of Powerline.
#9- Eat and hydrate.
#10- Ride St Kevins climb inbound strong.
8:11!
ReplyDeleteI'll say
ReplyDelete8:13:11 on 8-13-11
Good luck!
I hope Rick is closer than me.
cfsu20@mailcity.com
DO NOT ride all of P-line....walk the steep section, after you make the left turn headed into the sun, to the top of the first false summit....don't crash and you'll do 7:07....
ReplyDeleteThanks again Art! I think riding Pline is more of my ego talking. I have toyed with the idea that since I'm an OK hill runner that getting off there and using different muscles would be good and probably just as fast. The steep section is only a few hundred meters long anyway, tough to actually lose time there I think. If you win the prediction then I'll send you a few more things besides the pack!
ReplyDelete8:21. You're sandbagging!
ReplyDelete7:59:59
ReplyDeleteJust have fun...and be safe!
8:22 Take it to 'em. Be safe. And most importantly have fun.
ReplyDeleteI'm going to go with 7:26! Have fun out there!
ReplyDelete7:31! Kick ass coach!
ReplyDelete8:48
ReplyDelete7:04.
ReplyDeleteBecause you're patriotic. Really patriotic. Like the Tea Party. So patriotic that you hate the US Government, and will give me all of your winnings because the race goes through National Forest land.
You're awesome! Kill it! FOR AMERICA.
8:03
ReplyDeletegood luck!!!
Anke :)
I actually took the time to look up times from my friends here in Memphis that have done Leadville- given your elite athlete history, altitude, and climbing time in the saddle...I now have more of a perspective, I think. okay- this is kind of like The Price Is Right... my original guess was 7:17- but that is taken. So...let's go 7:18 and edge out Brad (if we are playing Price Is Right Style) :) If you don't ride smart I am going to be mad at you for ruining my prediction. I need to see a calm Tim at the beginning, please. Given the riders here that have done excellent sub 9 times, I have no doubt at all that you aren't going to do amazingly well. Have a great weekend and enjoy.
ReplyDeletehey tim i am gonna say 7:41.87. good luck my friend, and by the way, the header pic is awesome.
ReplyDelete6:56 with two flat tires for the last 20miles.
ReplyDeleteGoing with 7:39:42, and that is with one bike problem other wise it would be faster.
ReplyDeleteBest of luck Lucho.
8:13
ReplyDeleteBetter than you think. Your training looks really solid and race day always brings a little more.
8:09
ReplyDelete8:07.52
ReplyDelete8:19 (But only because of the corral start) Next year 740.
ReplyDelete7:57 with one slight falter (not a 'wreck'). You're an animal on the mountain tomorrow! Good luck brother!
ReplyDelete